Group D point totals going into today’s matches:
The scenarios are not as complex as some of the other groups, but if France and England both loss then it could be interesting. The permutations according to UEFA.com:
• England will be through with a draw. If they lose, they have to hope France lose by enough so that England at least end level with Les Bleus on goal difference and goals scored (as England have a superior coefficient, 33.563 to France’s 30.508).
• Ukraine will be through with a win and out with any other result.
• France will be through with a draw. If they lose, they would only be out if England lose but at the same time move level with them on either goal difference or goals scored.
• Sweden are out.
Ukraine vs. England
England got the win they needed against Sweden, but now it is back to business. A draw in Donetsk is needed and Theo Walcott is an injury doubt. Wayne Rooney will make his tournament debut for England. The injury news isn’t great out of the Ukraine camp, as Andriy Shevchenko is also an injury doubt. I think without Shevchenko at full fitness, England will win 1-0.
France vs. Sweden
Sweden is unlucky to not at least have a point. They have nothing to lose and could provide a tough test for France. I still think Karim Benzema and France will be too much for the Swedes, and Les Bleus will win 2-1.